Todd’s ATS Picks: Sooners set for Season Two rebound

Todd’s ATS Picks: Sooners set for Season Two rebound

Every week during the college football season, I’ll be giving you my picks against the spread for every Big 12 game, the Tulsa game and three other games that I like in the world of college football. Don’t forget that games against FCS opponents are off the board. Here are my likely terrible selections for [...]

Todd Lisenbee

By Todd Lisenbee

| Aug 31, 2023, 11:03pm CDT

Todd Lisenbee

By Todd Lisenbee

Aug 31, 2023, 11:03pm CDT

Every week during the college football season, I’ll be giving you my picks against the spread for every Big 12 game, the Tulsa game and three other games that I like in the world of college football. Don’t forget that games against FCS opponents are off the board.

Here are my likely terrible selections for Week One.

Kent State at UCF (-36.5) — Thursday, 6 p.m.

Seems like a lot of points to give a team that’s played in a lot of big environments in the past few years.

Pick: Kent State +36.5

Note: This game was played last night, but I made the selection on Twitter/X at @ToddOnSports on Tuesday.

Colorado at No. 17 TCU (-20.5) — Saturday, 11 a.m.

I’m not sure if public money pushes this line up too high or down too low, but with so much Coach Prime love this offseason, I’ve got to think I’m getting good value by taking TCU and laying the points.

Pick: TCU —20.5

Arkansas State at No. 20 Oklahoma (-36.5) — Saturday, 11 a.m.

The last four coaches to make it past year one in Norman (sorry, Howard) have fared very well in their season two home openers.

Back in 1990, Gary Gibbs opened the season with a 38-14 at 19th-ranked UCLA and then returned to Norman to lead a 52-10 walloping of then #13 Pitt.

In 1997, fourteen days after being shut out by Northwestern, John Blake got a surprising win over Donovan McNabb and a Syracuse team that finished 9-4.

The year 2000 was a second season for the ages for Bob Stoops, and in the hottest game ever played in Norman (108 degrees), the Sooners dispatched of UTEP, 55-14.

UTEP opened up the home slate in Norman for Lincoln Riley’s second season in 2018, and again the Sooners won easily, 56-7.

Let’s stick with the trend and take Oklahoma to win big. Something like 56-10.

Pick: Oklahoma -36.5

Rice at No. 11 Texas (-35.5) — 2:30 p.m. Saturday

We will not know Saturday night if Texas is any closer to being back. What we will know is that Rice is really bad. Blame Brett Yormark for the bulletin board material if you’d like.

Pick: Texas -35.5

Texas State at Baylor (-27.5) — 6 p.m. Saturday

Just a hunch, but I feel like Baylor and Dave Aranda will keep it very vanilla in game number one. The Bears should win easily, but four touchdowns is a lot of points.

Pick: Texas State +27.5

UTSA (-1.5) at Houston — 6 p.m. Saturday

Certainly not the sexiest game of the weekend, but possibly the most entertaining. I think this game will be a shootout, and I would take the over 59.5.

Pick: Houston +1.5

Texas Tech (-14) at Wyoming — 6:30 p.m. Saturday

Lots of folks jumping on the Texas Tech bandwagon in the off-season, and I’m nothing if not a contrarian.

Pick: Wyoming +14

West Virginia at No. 7 Penn State (-20.5) — 6:30 p.m. Saturday

Teams that are picked at the bottom of their leagues generally play with a lot of passion and intensity in week one. The Mountaineers are going nowhere fast, but maybe, just maybe, they catch the Nittany Lions on the back foot and get a cover.

Pick: West Virginia +20.5

Sam Houston State at BYU (-19.5)

For a little historical context, it was early 1858 when Texas governor Sam Houston stood in support of Utah governor Brigham Young in opposition to what went on to become known as The Utah War.

Pick: Sam Houston State +19.5

South Alabama at No. 24 Tulane (-6.5) —  7 p.m. Saturday

People keep telling me that USA is a trap game for Oklahoma State, so I’ll back them to be good enough to go on the road and get a cover.

Pick: South Alabama +6.5

South Carolina at North Carolina (-2.5) — 6:30 p.m. Saturday

A lot of love for Shane Beamer around these parts and rightfully so, but I’m going to go against the grain and go with the old dog in this fight, Mack Brown.

Pick: North Carolina -2.5

No. 9 Clemson (-12.5) at Duke —  7 p.m. Saturday
Clemson is down, but they’re not that down.

Pick: Clemson -12.5

BONUS PICK

If you’re a real degenerate, take Luton Town +360 to win Friday afternoon against West Ham.

Shame on Oklahoma State, Kansas, Iowa State, Cincinnati and Kansas State (Tulsa gets a pass) for playing FCS teams. I’ll have picks on their games next week.

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Todd Lisenbee is the host of The Todd Pod with Todd Lisenbee on the Sellout Crowd network. He has been a producer/talk show host at WWLS, The Sports Animal and 107.7 The Franchise during a Oklahoma broadcasting career that spans to 2002. Todd has broadcast high school basketball, football and soccer play-by-play since 2003 and is currently the voice of the UCO Bronchos, a role he has been in since 2018. He can be reached at @ToddOnSports on Twitter/X or Instagram or via email at [email protected].

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